Clean sheet probability, fixture difficulty and rate my team are free, no sign-in. Premium is for the deadline itself: who to captain, whether a transfer is worth making, and which chip week to spend. Every number comes from the model behind our public, pre-match-logged prediction record. Football predictions for the top leagues too.
€3.99 a month, or €25 a year. Prices are lower in some countries.
Free download on Google Play and the App Store. One subscription covers web, iOS and Android.
The free tier is genuinely useful. Premium goes deeper on the same engine.
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Built on a model with 48.1% correct 1X2 results across 553 completed club matches, every one logged before kick-off.
Every row was logged on the date shown, before kick-off. The full log lists them all while they wait, and keeps them there after the match with the result next to it, hit or miss.
| Kick-off UTC | Match | Model call | Logged |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 07 Oct, 22:30 | Bragantino v MirassolBrasileirão Série A | Bragantino 47% | 2026-10-07 |
| Wed 07 Oct, 22:30 | Internacional v CorinthiansBrasileirão Série A | Too close to call39% · 31% · 30% | 2026-10-07 |
| Wed 07 Oct, 22:30 | Remo v GremioBrasileirão Série A | Too close to call42% · 29% · 29% | 2026-10-07 |
| Wed 07 Oct, 23:00 | Vitoria v Chapecoense-SCBrasileirão Série A | Vitoria 51% | 2026-10-07 |
| Wed 07 Oct, 23:30 | Botafogo RJ v VascoBrasileirão Série A | Botafogo RJ 59% | 2026-10-07 |
| Thu 08 Oct, 00:30 | Cruzeiro v Sao PauloBrasileirão Série A | Cruzeiro 57% | 2026-10-07 |
GoalIQ model predictions are statistical estimates for fun and analysis, not betting advice, and not a gambling service.
76 players are ruled out and 40 are doubtful for the next deadline, taken from the official Fantasy Premier League status feed. Most owned among them: João Pedro (CHE), Palmer (CHE), Isak (LIV).
The full list is free and sorted by ownership, and it carries the model's projected points where we have them. The number you see is what the model expects including the doubt, not what the player would score if fully fit: FPL team news.
The model's squad is locked before every deadline and scored with official FPL points, and every frozen squad is in our public repository. We also play it on the official FPL site as entry 116920, with our own chip calls and the occasional lineup change, and that entry is the team in the mini-league. Season winner gets a year of Premium, free: one prize, decided by the mini-league table when the season ends.
Our FPL entry, 116920 ▸ The budget XI ▸ Join the league · code jgi6j9
GoalIQ is made by one person. I have played Fantasy Premier League since 2012/13, and the record is public: 12 seasons, anyone can check it. My best finish is 450,207 (2020/21). My worst is 6,138,376 (2021/22), the season I stopped updating my team in October. One season I did not play at all.
That is the problem GoalIQ solves. Not beating the people who spend five hours a week on this. Just getting a defensible team in before the deadline, every week, without giving up your evening.
Every one of those seasons was played without the model. 2026/27 is the first one I use it myself, and I will publish how it went in May, including if it is worse.
Every prediction in the record was logged before kick-off. 49.4% correct results across 609 completed matches, all competitions.
The model never picks a draw, so every draw is a miss in the first column.
Three taps from a fixture to a full statistical breakdown.
Choose two teams from a covered league or the Champions League.
A Dixon-Coles model computes the outcome in seconds.
Win probabilities, expected goals and scoreline probabilities, plus head-to-head history in the app.
Europe's top leagues and the Champions League, with Brasileirão live right now, plus the Championship, Eredivisie and Primeira Liga.
La Liga, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Brasileirão, Championship, Eredivisie and Primeira Liga are playing right now. The rest are supported and waiting on their next round.
Free: clean sheet probabilities; fixture difficulty (web); a player lookup with official availability news, start chance and set-piece roles; rate my team with a captain pick; a mini-league view with head-to-head win probability; a fit checker and pre-season draft rater with saved drafts; price watch; xG, xA and xGI leaders for every player with data; expected points for the next gameweek alone, top 20 with each one's opponent and start chance (web); a filterable player stats table with per 90 and per start views and CSV export; defence profiles by pitch zone; and shareable image cards (web).
GoalIQ Premium: per-gameweek expected points for every player in the projection, with ownership and the scoring rate per 90 shown separately from expected minutes; the captain ranker with a differential pick; a rolling six-gameweek planner and transfer plans that chain 1 to 2 moves; chip timing for Wildcard, Bench Boost, Triple Captain and Free Hit; edge mode with rank-aware picks for your mini-league; a live DefCon panel for your own squad and the full leaderboard; player value and GK rotation pairs; player compare for up to four; and shareable cards of your XI and the rankings (web).
The web app also predicts any match: win probability, expected goals, scoreline probabilities, upcoming fixtures and league tables. Available on the web, iOS and Android.