Premier League · kickoff Sat 23 Jan 2027, 12:00 UTC. The GoalIQ match model makes Arsenal the favourite at 72% to win.
Arsenal 72%Draw 20%Newcastle United 8%
Premiumexpected goals and the most likely score on GoalIQ Premium
Lower confidence in this one.
Newcastle United: 25% of last season's minutes were played by players who have since left. The rating is fitted on results, so it has not priced that in yet.
The model is fitted on results, so it prices a squad by what it did, not by who is in it now.
This prediction was logged before kickoff on 2026-08-01 and will be graded in our public track record, hits and misses included.