Brighton 50%Draw 23%Chelsea 26%
Lower confidence in this one. - Brighton: 26% of last season's minutes were played by players who have since left. The rating is fitted on results, so it has not priced that in yet.
- Chelsea: 28% of last season's minutes were played by players who have since left. The rating is fitted on results, so it has not priced that in yet.
The model is fitted on results, so it prices a squad by what it did, not by who is in it now.
This prediction was logged before kickoff on 2026-10-06 and will be graded in our
public track record, hits and misses included.
GoalIQ model predictions are statistical estimates for fun and analysis, not betting advice, and not a gambling service.