Premier League · kickoff Sat 19 Dec 2026, 15:00 UTC. The GoalIQ match model makes Brighton the favourite at 65% to win.
Brighton 65%Draw 19%Ipswich 16%
Premiumexpected goals and scoreline probabilities on GoalIQ Premium
Lower confidence in this one.
Brighton: 26% of last season's minutes were played by players who have since left. The rating is fitted on results, so it has not priced that in yet.
Ipswich: Promoted side. The model now has a rating of its own, but it is fitted on 5 matches of Premier League football, so it moves a lot with each result.
The model is fitted on results, so it prices a squad by what it did, not by who is in it now.
This prediction was logged before kickoff on 2026-10-06 and will be graded in our public track record, hits and misses included.