Premier League · kickoff Sun 29 Nov 2026, 14:05 UTC. The GoalIQ match model makes Brighton the favourite at 61% to win.
Brighton 61%Draw 23%Newcastle United 16%
Premiumexpected goals and scoreline probabilities on GoalIQ Premium
Lower confidence in this one.
Brighton: 26% of last season's minutes were played by players who have since left. The rating is fitted on results, so it has not priced that in yet.
Newcastle United: 25% of last season's minutes were played by players who have since left. The rating is fitted on results, so it has not priced that in yet.
The model is fitted on results, so it prices a squad by what it did, not by who is in it now.
This prediction was logged before kickoff on 2026-10-06 and will be graded in our public track record, hits and misses included.