Premier League · kickoff Wed 03 Mar 2027, 20:00 UTC. The GoalIQ match model makes Chelsea the favourite at 65% to win.
Chelsea 65%Draw 22%Coventry 14%
Premiumexpected goals and scoreline probabilities on GoalIQ Premium
Lower confidence in this one.
Chelsea: 28% of last season's minutes were played by players who have since left. The rating is fitted on results, so it has not priced that in yet.
Coventry: Promoted side. The model now has a rating of its own, but it is fitted on 5 matches of Premier League football, so it moves a lot with each result.
The model is fitted on results, so it prices a squad by what it did, not by who is in it now.
This prediction was logged before kickoff on 2026-10-06 and will be graded in our public track record, hits and misses included.