Premier League · kickoff Sun 29 Nov 2026, 14:05 UTC. Too close to call. The model has Crystal Palace at 34% and Hull at 35%, 1 percentage point apart. Under 16 points the model's named side has won 49% of the matches that had a winner, so it does not call this one. How that line is set.
Crystal Palace 34%Draw 31%Hull 35%
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Lower confidence in this one.
Hull: Promoted side. The model now has a rating of its own, but it is fitted on 5 matches of Premier League football, so it moves a lot with each result.
The model is fitted on results, so it prices a squad by what it did, not by who is in it now.
This prediction was logged before kickoff on 2026-10-06 and will be graded in our public track record, hits and misses included.