Premier League · kickoff Sun 30 May 2027, 15:00 UTC. The GoalIQ match model makes Hull the favourite at 45% to win.
Hull 45%Draw 31%Newcastle United 24%
Premiumexpected goals and scoreline probabilities on GoalIQ Premium
Lower confidence in this one.
Hull: Promoted side. The model now has a rating of its own, but it is fitted on 5 matches of Premier League football, so it moves a lot with each result.
Newcastle United: 25% of last season's minutes were played by players who have since left. The rating is fitted on results, so it has not priced that in yet.
The model is fitted on results, so it prices a squad by what it did, not by who is in it now.
This prediction was logged before kickoff on 2026-10-06 and will be graded in our public track record, hits and misses included.