Premier League · kickoff Sat 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The GoalIQ match model makes Manchester City the favourite at 78% to win.
Manchester City 78%Draw 14%Ipswich 8%
Premiumexpected goals and scoreline probabilities on GoalIQ Premium
Lower confidence in this one.
Ipswich: Promoted side. The model now has a rating of its own, but it is fitted on 5 matches of Premier League football, so it moves a lot with each result.
The model is fitted on results, so it prices a squad by what it did, not by who is in it now.
This prediction was logged before kickoff on 2026-10-06 and will be graded in our public track record, hits and misses included.