Premier League · kickoff Sat 05 Dec 2026, 15:00 UTC. The GoalIQ match model makes Manchester United the favourite at 75% to win.
Manchester United 75%Draw 17%Coventry 8%
Premiumexpected goals and scoreline probabilities on GoalIQ Premium
Lower confidence in this one.
Coventry: Promoted side. The model now has a rating of its own, but it is fitted on 5 matches of Premier League football, so it moves a lot with each result.
The model is fitted on results, so it prices a squad by what it did, not by who is in it now.
This prediction was logged before kickoff on 2026-10-06 and will be graded in our public track record, hits and misses included.