Premier League · kickoff Sat 05 Dec 2026, 15:00 UTC. The GoalIQ match model makes Manchester United the favourite at 79% to win.
Manchester United 79%Draw 15%Coventry 7%
Premiumexpected goals and the most likely score on GoalIQ Premium
Lower confidence in this one.
Coventry: Promoted side. No results inside the model's current fitting window, so this team runs on a measured baseline from recent promoted sides instead of a rating of its own.
The model is fitted on results, so it prices a squad by what it did, not by who is in it now.
This prediction was logged before kickoff on 2026-08-01 and will be graded in our public track record, hits and misses included.