2025/26 season, per match. This covers the 17 clubs that played in the Premier League last season and are still in it. Coventry, Hull and Ipswich came up from the Championship, so last season's Premier League shot data does not cover them. This season's matches are not in this table for anyone yet. Burnley, West Ham and Wolverhampton Wanderers are in last season's data but went down, so they are left out.
Penalties are counted separately and left out of the zone columns, because they say nothing about defensive shape.
These 17 defences, sorted by expected goals conceded
Why this matters for FPL: a defence that faces a lot of headers is a set-piece risk, so its clean sheet is fragile even against weak opponents. A defence that concedes mostly from long range is giving up volume without quality, and its goalkeeper is a save-points candidate. These come from shot-level data with its own expected-goals model, so the numbers are not Opta's and we do not call them that.
| # | Team | xGC | Shots | 6yd | Central | Wide | Edge | Far | Headers | SP xG | In box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 0.91 | 8.2 | 0.71 | 2.84 | 1.39 | 2.37 | 0.84 | 1.42 | 0.20 | 61% |
| 2 | Manchester City | 1.28 | 9.7 | 1.08 | 3.37 | 2.13 | 2.32 | 0.79 | 1.55 | 0.27 | 68% |
| 3 | Manchester United | 1.34 | 11.6 | 1.18 | 4.32 | 1.79 | 3.29 | 0.87 | 2.08 | 0.35 | 64% |
| 4 | Brighton | 1.43 | 11.7 | 1.26 | 3.87 | 2.82 | 2.58 | 1.00 | 2.21 | 0.29 | 69% |
| 5 | Liverpool | 1.44 | 11.4 | 0.89 | 3.87 | 2.50 | 2.66 | 1.39 | 2.05 | 0.30 | 64% |
| 6 | Tottenham | 1.48 | 12.2 | 1.37 | 4.42 | 2.18 | 3.24 | 0.95 | 2.50 | 0.37 | 66% |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 1.50 | 12.6 | 1.37 | 4.71 | 2.34 | 3.29 | 0.74 | 2.21 | 0.47 | 68% |
| 8 | Leeds | 1.51 | 12.5 | 1.74 | 4.63 | 1.68 | 3.32 | 1.00 | 2.53 | 0.39 | 65% |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1.51 | 12.9 | 1.39 | 4.37 | 2.39 | 3.47 | 1.21 | 2.34 | 0.37 | 64% |
| 10 | Newcastle United | 1.53 | 12.3 | 1.08 | 3.92 | 2.68 | 3.29 | 1.21 | 1.92 | 0.29 | 63% |
| 11 | Chelsea | 1.57 | 10.9 | 1.26 | 4.16 | 2.11 | 2.47 | 0.87 | 2.16 | 0.35 | 69% |
| 12 | Everton | 1.59 | 13.9 | 1.37 | 5.16 | 2.34 | 3.63 | 1.34 | 2.55 | 0.42 | 64% |
| 13 | Brentford | 1.60 | 13.1 | 1.13 | 4.68 | 1.95 | 3.97 | 1.16 | 2.05 | 0.26 | 60% |
| 14 | Fulham | 1.61 | 11.8 | 1.74 | 3.66 | 2.42 | 2.89 | 0.97 | 2.00 | 0.42 | 67% |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1.61 | 14.2 | 1.39 | 4.89 | 2.58 | 3.66 | 1.61 | 2.55 | 0.32 | 63% |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 1.64 | 11.7 | 1.42 | 4.26 | 2.05 | 2.92 | 0.84 | 2.50 | 0.39 | 67% |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 1.73 | 13.3 | 1.24 | 4.87 | 2.13 | 3.79 | 1.11 | 2.55 | 0.46 | 63% |
Central, wide, edge, long range and set-piece xG are in the same table on a wider screen.
Updated 07 Oct 2026 · GoalIQ model predictions are statistical estimates for fun and analysis, not betting advice, and not a gambling service.