The Model XI

The strongest XI the GoalIQ model found inside the standard 100.0m budget, ranked on projected points for GW6-GW11 (6 gameweeks). Every projected points figure here is a total over those 6, not one round. Prices, minutes and start probabilities are not: they are per player and per game. The budget has to cover a full 15, so the four on the bench are the cheapest players who still project real minutes: the squad can cover a blank without spending a transfer. This is the same optimiser the rate-my-team benchmark uses, rebuilt from the same projection file.

5-3-2Shape
324.2Projected points, XI, GW6-GW11
81.8mXI cost, 18.0m on the bench
Tzolakis24.6 xPGW6-GW11
Gabriel31.2 xPGW6-GW11
Guéhi29.1 xPGW6-GW11
Calafiori28.0 xPGW6-GW11
Gvardiol26.8 xPGW6-GW11
Thomas26.8 xPGW6-GW11
B.Fernandes34.9 xPGW6-GW11
Mbeumo31.1 xPGW6-GW11
Tavernier27.8 xPGW6-GW11
Haaland39.1 xPGW6-GW11
Calvert-Lewin24.9 xPGW6-GW11

Bench

The other four in the 15, 18.0m. Same GW6-GW11 total on each name. Outfield bench players must project at least 45 expected minutes a game, so the squad can cover a blank without a transfer. The backup keeper is the cheapest available: he only plays if the first choice does not.

Matthews5.8 xPGW6-GW11
Slater20.0 xPGW6-GW11
Yalcouyé17.3 xPGW6-GW11
Thomas-Asante16.5 xPGW6-GW11

Every player in this XI projects as a nailed starter (start probability 75% or higher). The total does not rest on anyone who might be benched.

This is the best XI our search found inside the 100.0m budget, not the model's gameweek squad. That one is frozen before each deadline and built under the transfer rules from what it already owns, so it's a different 15.

Shirts show club colours only. GoalIQ is not affiliated with the Premier League and uses no club badges or player images. Projected points are model estimates, not betting advice.

The model's squad is frozen before every deadline. We play it in FPL as entry 116920, with our own chip calls and the occasional lineup change, and that's the team to beat in the Beat the Model mini-league (code jgi6j9). Season winner gets a year of GoalIQ Premium, free: one prize, decided by the mini-league table when the season ends.
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Updated 07 Oct 2026 · GoalIQ model predictions are statistical estimates for fun and analysis, not betting advice, and not a gambling service.