FPL points GW5: projected vs actual

The xP column is the projection this model published before the deadline, not a number recalculated afterwards. Actual points come from the official FPL API. Both are on the same row so you can check the model instead of taking its word for it.

Across the 299 players in both the projection and the results, the model's mean absolute error is 2.02 points. It was too low on 140 of them and too high on 159. That number covers the players who took the pitch. Counting all 482 frozen players, including the 183 who never got on the pitch and were scored 0, the error is 1.62 points. The second figure is read from data/fpl_xp_gw_accuracy.json, the same file behind the accuracy table on the FPL page, and is not recalculated here.

PlayerTeamPosPricexPPtsDiffMinsGADCCSBPSBxGxA
SemenyoMCIMID8.44.5617+12.449021706520.160.17
BrobbeySUNFWD5.82.8517+14.159030009232.350.04
DasilvaCOVDEF4.03.4115+11.599010414030.320.04
TarkowskiEVEDEF6.14.4914+9.5190011214330.010.01
GroßBHAMID5.73.3014+10.709011514730.110.25
SchusterBREDEF4.52.4814+11.5290011614330.00.52
HallNEWDEF5.23.9413+9.0690101003830.190.11
ManzambiAVLMID5.91.0413+11.967111714520.440.16
BuendíaAVLMID5.93.4912+8.5190101505030.140.07
RushworthCOVGKP4.53.3111+7.699001013820.00.0
TraffordLEEGKP5.03.9610+6.049000013430.00.0
CunhaMUNMID7.93.6010+6.409010303230.050.39
KostoulasBHAFWD5.52.8710+7.137511414020.180.01
WillockNEWMID5.02.5110+7.498610603830.170.04
AnthonyBREMID5.92.3110+7.698010213120.960.02
SchadeBREMID6.15.069+3.949002712700.540.02
BarnesNEWMID6.04.359+4.659002903410.110.11
ThomasCOVDEF4.04.099+4.9190001313710.060.04
IsakLIVFWD9.14.328+3.688010113130.750.02
JustinLEEDEF4.53.848+4.169000913120.050.12
CherkiMCIMID7.83.828+4.188410503510.130.13
PickfordEVEGKP5.53.718+4.299000013410.00.0
BranthwaiteEVEDEF5.53.688+4.3290001412700.00.0
VirgilLIVDEF6.53.528+4.4890001312600.00.01
A.BeckerLIVGKP5.53.208+4.809000013020.00.0
RichardsCRYDEF5.03.138+4.8790001012900.00.01
VuskovicBHADEF5.03.118+4.8990001212700.00.0
GomezBHAMID5.02.778+5.2385011311900.00.02
PinnockCOVDEF4.52.758+5.2590001912400.00.0
Maitland-NilesEVEDEF4.52.578+5.439000813920.00.11
CanvotCRYDEF4.92.468+5.5490001012600.00.12
AndrésBHAMID5.51.108+6.908410912700.280.11
EnzoMCIMID6.93.247+3.769010503300.040.26
AjerBREDEF4.53.067+3.949000912910.00.05
MitchellCRYDEF4.52.637+4.379000813010.00.02
AraujoLIVDEF5.42.257+4.759000512810.00.01
HaalandMCIFWD15.56.516-0.519010202501.090.02
BarryEVEFWD5.65.096+0.919010512800.520.01
TzolakisHULGKP4.64.106+1.909000001600.00.0
MuharemovićLEEDEF5.04.076+1.939000812200.40.01
Van HeckeTOTDEF4.93.896+2.119010901700.350.3
WirtzLIVMID7.43.826+2.187001812500.220.05
KhalailiCRYDEF5.03.586+2.429000612300.00.02
KelleherBREGKP5.03.356+2.659000012700.00.0
De CuyperBHADEF4.93.166+2.849000713010.020.23
McGinnAVLMID5.43.146+2.868301611900.00.04
ElvediLEEDEF4.53.056+2.959000412700.070.01
JacquetLIVDEF5.02.926+3.089000812600.00.02
VerbruggenBHAGKP4.52.926+3.089000012700.00.0
BasseyFULDEF4.52.716+3.299001802610.060.01
KamaraAVLMID5.02.676+3.338301612600.120.01
BoscagliBHADEF4.52.406+3.609000712400.010.02
GudmundssonLEEDEF4.52.356+3.659000512700.00.03
N.JacksonAVLFWD6.52.326+3.688710403110.440.02
KayodeBREDEF4.62.056+3.956800212000.00.07
KerkezLIVDEF5.41.976+4.039000712200.050.01
ChoHULMID5.01.696+4.312710002500.270.2
BenitezCRYGKP4.51.396+4.619000012600.00.0
GallagherTOTMID5.41.236+4.77610402400.350.0
CarvalhoBREMID5.00.656+5.35310002300.430.0
MfuniCOVDEF4.00.506+5.509000812700.00.01
ThiagoBREFWD7.95.635-0.639010312600.720.03
StachLEEMID6.04.855+0.1590001311300.050.08
AmpaduLEEMID5.43.805+1.2090001411900.00.1
BogleLEEDEF4.53.665+1.346600111400.070.0
NdiayeMCIMID5.93.655+1.357401403100.10.14
E.Le FéeSUNMID5.83.655+1.359001303300.00.52
RudoniCOVMID5.03.365+1.6473001311600.090.2
IwobiFULMID5.43.175+1.837000712720.190.41
MykolenkoEVEDEF4.53.025+1.989000612900.040.02
F.KadıoğluBHADEF4.42.515+2.497500311800.040.02
Mac AllisterLIVMID5.42.075+2.9390001311900.00.05
StruijkBHADEF4.91.005+4.008500612400.160.0
GuéhiMCIDEF6.05.494-1.499001401300.060.01
GvardiolMCIDEF5.75.014-1.019001702200.00.63
MurilloNFODEF5.54.544-0.5490001101600.070.08
ThiawNEWDEF5.04.274-0.2790001301300.00.01
BotmanNEWDEF5.04.154-0.1590001801200.050.0
HillBOUDEF5.53.774+0.2390001501500.00.02
LammensMUNGKP4.93.704+0.309000002200.00.0
L.MileyNEWMID5.53.554+0.4590001601900.00.04
BentancurTOTMID5.53.354+0.6583001701500.00.04
MainooMUNMID5.53.144+0.8679001201800.060.1
TielemansMUNMID5.83.074+0.9390001302200.090.2
BelloumiHULMID5.13.054+0.9582011102200.350.31
DiopIPSDEF4.03.014+0.9990001001300.060.01
RobertsonTOTDEF4.42.884+1.129001301500.00.26
CharlesFULMID5.02.724+1.2890001301600.00.02
AdamsBOUMID5.02.284+1.7287001301300.00.04
N.AnguloSUNMID5.02.244+1.765901401300.450.01
DorguMUNMID5.82.164+1.84601201200.130.01
FofanaCHEDEF5.02.034+1.9770001501100.00.0
AffengruberFULDEF4.51.964+2.0490001101700.00.02
Thomas-AsanteCOVFWD5.01.944+2.0690001611600.130.01
KudusTOTMID6.51.554+2.454501702400.070.2
GomesAVLMID5.50.324+3.6890001301300.00.02
Dewsbury-HallEVEMID6.54.883-1.889000711000.370.34
SilvaBOUDEF5.04.183-1.189000150800.00.02
GarnerEVEMID6.03.973-0.979000911400.160.04
JaneltBREMID5.03.933-0.939000911300.030.04
HorníčekNEWGKP5.03.823-0.829000001400.00.0
OkaforLEEMID5.83.673-0.677500511700.020.01
Lewis-PotterBREMID5.53.613-0.618000911500.150.01
DamsgaardBREMID5.53.273-0.2786001011500.040.28
GrimesCOVMID4.93.273-0.2790001011700.020.06
GakpoLIVMID7.23.183-0.189000511300.20.49
BobbFULMID5.53.153-0.15700061600.220.09
LenoFULGKP4.53.123-0.129000001800.00.0
TimberCRYMID5.02.973+0.039000511300.120.03
JohnsonEVEMID5.92.863+0.14650081600.820.0
OnyekaCOVMID4.92.783+0.229000911000.00.0
MingsAVLDEF4.52.653+0.3590001301000.00.0
KamadaCRYMID5.02.623+0.3890001011200.420.03
LacroixCHEDEF6.02.573+0.439000120-100.130.01
BergeFULMID4.92.543+0.467600211600.050.02
BarcolaLIVMID8.02.493+0.51710031800.050.03
AyariBHAMID5.42.413+0.59900071700.110.08
MeunierSUNDEF4.52.303+0.70780140500.00.45
YirenkyiCOVMID4.92.093+0.919000511000.00.01
SteurNEWMID4.91.983+1.026500711800.00.03
GrealishEVEMID6.51.853+1.157800712200.00.3
YarmoliukBREMID4.81.323+1.6868001011900.030.06
RuggeriAVLDEF4.50.903+2.1090001301100.030.01
B.FernandesMUNMID12.05.232-3.239000601500.280.19
SakaARSMID9.55.102-3.108000201400.340.55
Calvert-LewinLEEFWD6.05.072-3.07900081700.520.0
Gibbs-WhiteNFOMID8.05.022-3.029000202500.00.4
MbeumoMUNMID7.94.642-2.649000402300.270.25
TavernierBOUMID6.14.622-2.627400601400.00.11
PalmerCHEMID9.74.532-2.539000602100.130.18
AndersonMCIMID6.34.502-2.509000901500.020.02
N.WilliamsNFODEF5.04.462-2.469000201900.090.21
SelsNFOGKP5.04.412-2.419000001000.00.0
DonnarummaMCIGKP5.54.302-2.30900000900.00.0
GonzaloFULFWD6.04.182-2.18790021300.690.33
ScottBOUMID6.14.162-2.169000801700.120.07
SzoboszlaiLIVMID7.04.002-2.00800061500.130.02
ØdegaardARSMID6.73.942-1.947200201000.070.02
SuzukiAVLGKP5.03.792-1.799000001700.00.0
HavertzARSFWD7.63.782-1.78900030500.780.02
RayanBOUMID6.43.712-1.718700401700.00.35
RogersCHEMID7.73.692-1.699000801700.330.07
TruffertBOUDEF5.53.682-1.68900070600.020.06
DavisIPSDEF4.03.622-1.62900050200.420.02
KinskyTOTGKP4.53.602-1.60900000500.00.0
McAteeNFOMID5.53.572-1.578200401700.210.04
EncisoIPSMID5.53.562-1.567300501100.340.05
EvanilsonBOUFWD6.03.552-1.559000501200.160.01
KingFULMID5.53.532-1.537900511000.380.03
MarmoushTOTFWD7.03.462-1.46900040800.020.04
EmersonnIPSFWD5.53.452-1.45800010900.130.01
SlaterHULMID4.53.442-1.44770030900.130.03
SchlagerNFOMID5.03.352-1.359000701600.050.1
XhakaSUNMID5.53.322-1.329000802500.00.38
MaguireMUNDEF4.93.312-1.319000501700.010.03
WhartonCRYMID5.53.192-1.199000711300.070.22
O'SheaIPSDEF4.03.162-1.169000901200.00.0
PetrovićBOUGKP4.53.132-1.139000001200.00.0
NetoCHEMID6.53.102-1.108600601300.160.05
MartinezCHEGKP5.03.102-1.10900000700.00.0
BallardSUNDEF4.93.062-1.069000140-1200.140.0
PalaciosIPSMID5.03.032-1.038000601500.00.02
RashfordMUNMID7.03.032-1.037600201500.40.14
DalotMUNDEF4.92.952-0.959000201100.060.05
TzolisARSMID6.42.872-0.87720030900.00.07
RobinsonFULDEF4.52.852-0.859000701900.00.09
ArmstrongEVEMID5.02.832-0.839000511300.120.37
TanakaLEEMID4.92.832-0.83670051000.140.0
MuñozNFODEF5.42.712-0.71820030500.120.02
SávioTOTMID6.52.692-0.699000502900.290.17
DiomandeNFODEF5.42.652-0.65720050400.050.01
Strand LarsenCRYFWD6.02.632-0.638100311000.040.17
LukićIPSMID5.02.582-0.587200601400.00.25
SadikiSUNMID4.92.542-0.54670030900.040.01
YeremyCRYMID5.52.502-0.508100511000.160.15
TonaliTOTMID5.42.472-0.4783001101800.060.21
GrayTOTMID4.92.452-0.457100501400.140.01
SmithBOUDEF4.52.322-0.32740000300.00.02
Fernandez-PardoNEWFWD6.02.142-0.14730020700.050.0
SolankeTOTFWD5.82.082-0.08650060900.120.0
ClarkeIPSMID5.41.872+0.136500401000.00.33
ThomasHULMID5.51.842+0.16620030200.190.04
ShawMUNDEF4.41.342+0.66830030700.010.07
WelbeckCHEFWD5.91.172+0.83700040800.00.08
ChristieBOUMID5.01.162+0.84740050000.50.01
OuattaraIPSDEF4.00.992+1.019000801700.020.01
BarcoCHEMID5.40.962+1.048600902100.030.02
WaltonIPSGKP4.40.942+1.069000001000.00.01
GabrielARSDEF8.04.821-3.82900090600.00.14
RúbenMCIDEF5.54.451-3.45900040-700.20.0
CalafioriARSDEF5.84.251-3.25900050-300.070.03
RiceARSMID7.44.121-3.129000801300.020.06
GeorgeEVEMID5.53.941-2.94110020400.030.01
RayaARSGKP6.03.861-2.86900000600.00.0
EganHULDEF4.13.641-2.64770040200.010.0
McBurnieHULFWD5.53.631-2.63900060500.360.02
AjayiHULDEF4.23.591-2.59900040500.010.01
Van de VenTOTDEF5.03.261-2.26900060700.020.01
NdoyeNFOMID5.53.121-2.12580010300.20.05
YalcouyéBHAMID4.53.111-2.1150010900.040.18
LindelöfAVLDEF4.53.051-2.05900060100.00.0
BarkleyAVLMID5.02.931-1.9360040300.00.0
CastagneFULDEF4.52.791-1.79900090300.00.01
MaedaIPSMID5.42.751-1.75160010500.00.01
Igor JesusNFOFWD5.82.691-1.69310030400.160.01
DelapNFOFWD5.52.681-1.68900080900.130.21
CoyleHULDEF4.02.671-1.67900020300.00.04
FernandesTOTMID5.82.641-1.64450070200.070.02
O.DangoBREMID6.32.631-1.6390000200.00.0
George HemmingsAVLMID4.52.621-1.62180000200.00.0
O'ReillyMCIDEF6.42.601-1.6050020300.780.0
PalaciosFULMID5.42.461-1.46190040500.00.0
MunozLIVMID6.52.411-1.41180030700.00.06
Wan-BissakaAVLDEF4.52.331-1.33450060600.00.01
HackneyEVEMID5.52.181-1.1810000300.00.0
KonsaARSDEF4.52.061-1.06900040200.230.01
Mason-ClarkCOVMID5.42.061-1.06450020600.020.05
AndersenFULDEF5.02.031-1.03100050000.00.0
Matheus N.MCIDEF5.92.001-1.00900090000.00.01
AaronsonLEEMID5.42.001-1.00220040500.00.0
CookBOUMID5.01.981-0.98150020300.00.0
Pedro PorroTOTDEF5.51.901-0.90180010400.010.0
HickeyBREDEF4.51.851-0.85210040500.00.01
NmechaLEEFWD5.41.841-0.84140020400.00.0
IsidorSUNFWD5.51.771-0.77220020300.00.0
Jair CunhaNFODEF4.51.771-0.77900080500.020.01
GravenberchLIVMID5.91.631-0.6390010300.00.01
NketiahCRYFWD5.51.631-0.6380010200.00.02
AbrahamAVLFWD5.51.631-0.6320000300.00.0
ColwillCHEDEF4.91.631-0.63900070100.00.01
Gourna-DouathHULMID5.01.531-0.53120010500.030.01
WoodNFOFWD5.81.521-0.52170000400.00.0
LarssonFULMID5.01.521-0.52130040300.00.0
J.MurphyNEWMID5.91.521-0.529000801200.030.07
FofanaSUNMID5.51.471-0.47300030600.390.01
TchaounaCOVMID5.41.401-0.40450030500.040.0
MerinoARSMID5.81.371-0.37300040400.00.13
TouréNEWMID5.81.361-0.36160020200.00.0
EstêvãoCHEMID6.31.341-0.3430000300.00.0
MbayeAVLMID6.01.321-0.3260000200.00.0
BrooksBOUMID5.01.281-0.28150020400.00.06
Bruno G.ARSMID6.71.231-0.235900601200.00.01
SvobodaBHADEF5.01.231-0.2340010500.00.0
EzeARSMID6.31.221-0.22170000500.00.02
ZubimendiARSMID5.31.211-0.21300010200.130.0
TomiyasuCRYDEF4.41.201-0.20450030400.00.01
HumeSUNDEF4.41.171-0.17110010-200.10.01
KevinFULMID5.31.171-0.17190020600.040.0
CostinhaBHADEF4.51.161-0.16140010200.00.14
SimmsCOVFWD5.01.161-0.16160000300.00.0
MaddisonTOTMID6.31.131-0.13240060900.060.02
ChavarriaCHEDEF4.91.061-0.06900090700.040.04
HerringtonHULDEF4.01.011-0.019000801100.020.03
I.SangaréNFOMID4.91.001+0.0070000300.00.0
VazHULFWD5.01.001+0.00120010500.00.01
SarrCRYMID6.20.951+0.0580000300.00.01
PhilogeneIPSMID5.40.891+0.11240010500.060.01
AkpomIPSFWD5.00.851+0.1590000300.170.0
IroegbunamHULMID5.00.841+0.16450070600.120.01
Gannon-DoakBOUMID4.90.831+0.1720000300.00.02
O'BrienEVEDEF4.90.821+0.1810010300.00.0
JebbisonBOUFWD5.00.811+0.19150000300.00.0
SchärNEWDEF4.90.811+0.19240070100.00.01
BergvallTOTMID5.40.761+0.2460010300.00.01
DioufBREDEF4.50.761+0.2490010300.00.0
O'RileyBHAMID5.40.731+0.2740020200.280.0
JamesLEEMID4.90.711+0.29230010300.00.0
GyökeresARSFWD7.20.711+0.29170000500.00.23
NetzNFODEF4.40.701+0.3070000500.00.02
GeorginioBHAFWD5.40.661+0.34140020200.090.01
ZirkzeeMUNFWD5.40.651+0.35130010400.00.0
KoumasLIVMID5.00.621+0.3890000700.250.0
BahoyaLEEMID5.00.621+0.3810000500.00.0
DiblingEVEMID5.40.601+0.402400001000.170.16
DowmanARSMID5.30.591+0.4190000400.00.08
BambaNEWMID4.90.581+0.4230040300.00.0
GelhardtHULMID5.00.581+0.4270010500.10.02
NyoniLIVMID4.90.571+0.43190050300.00.0
MountMUNMID5.40.531+0.47100010300.090.01
LatibeaudiereCOVDEF4.00.501+0.5010020300.00.0
QuendaCHEMID5.30.461+0.54190000300.030.01
FlorentinoIPSMID4.90.361+0.64170000100.00.0
Tóth.ABOUMID4.90.201+0.8020000300.00.0
WissaNEWFWD6.24.240-4.24900050000.840.01
M.SangaréBREMID5.74.190-4.19210030000.00.0
GilesHULDEF4.03.320-3.32900050-100.00.08
MartinezMUNDEF5.03.030-3.03900040600.150.02
MukieleSUNDEF5.42.880-2.88900090500.050.23
RoefsSUNGKP4.92.760-2.76900000-800.00.01
DansoSUNDEF5.02.070-2.07900080-800.070.01
FlemmingIPSFWD5.52.010-2.0190030-200.10.0
CrooksHULMID4.51.810-1.81450020600.00.12
MunizFULFWD5.41.260-1.26100010-100.00.0
AcheampongCHEDEF4.51.250-1.25190010-400.00.01
J.TimberARSDEF6.50.860-0.86590020-600.00.02
LermaCRYMID4.90.350-0.354500110300.260.0
FatawuIPSMID5.52.89-1-3.89660040400.140.28
CashAVLDEF4.42.55-1-3.55450030-700.00.0
MethalieSUNDEF4.50.38-1-1.38900030-800.030.01
João PedroCHEFWD7.84.160 dnp-4.160
ScherpenIPSGKP4.53.560 dnp-3.560
KluivertBOUMID6.03.450 dnp-3.450
van EwijkCOVDEF4.03.370 dnp-3.370
KhusanovMCIDEF5.43.090 dnp-3.090
TelTOTMID5.82.970 dnp-2.970
AinaNFODEF4.52.900 dnp-2.900
GreavesIPSDEF4.02.750 dnp-2.750
DedićNEWDEF4.52.550 dnp-2.550
WhiteARSDEF5.52.510 dnp-2.510
DunkBHADEF4.52.450 dnp-2.450
WilsonLEEMID6.32.430 dnp-2.430
JamesCHEDEF5.42.270 dnp-2.270
Lewis-SkellyARSMID5.52.190 dnp-2.190
LaviaCHEMID5.02.170 dnp-2.170
StroudHULMID5.02.090 dnp-2.090
RöhlEVEMID4.92.070 dnp-2.070
AhanorCRYDEF4.51.980 dnp-1.980
GustoCHEDEF5.01.970 dnp-1.970
ŠeškoMUNFWD7.01.940 dnp-1.940
KeaneEVEDEF4.81.720 dnp-1.720
GbohoCOVMID5.51.610 dnp-1.610
BijolLEEDEF5.01.490 dnp-1.490
FrimpongLIVDEF5.41.480 dnp-1.480
SenesiTOTDEF5.81.470 dnp-1.470
NgumohaLIVMID5.81.430 dnp-1.430
AlyssonAVLMID5.01.410 dnp-1.410
MendyHULDEF4.11.410 dnp-1.410
NúñezIPSMID4.91.360 dnp-1.360
WilsonBREFWD5.51.350 dnp-1.350
GarnachoAVLMID5.81.340 dnp-1.340
DiakitéBOUDEF5.01.330 dnp-1.330
PauAVLDEF4.51.330 dnp-1.330
Smith RoweFULMID5.41.330 dnp-1.330
ChilwellCRYDEF4.51.320 dnp-1.320
N.GonzalezNEWMID5.51.320 dnp-1.320
RodríguezBOUFWD6.01.270 dnp-1.270
TorpCOVMID5.41.260 dnp-1.260
HamerCOVMID5.41.230 dnp-1.230
Kusi-AsareFULFWD4.51.220 dnp-1.220
UdogieTOTDEF4.41.210 dnp-1.210
MaatsenAVLDEF4.51.170 dnp-1.170
DannsLIVFWD4.51.150 dnp-1.150
DavidBHAFWD6.01.120 dnp-1.120
MazraouiMUNDEF4.41.090 dnp-1.090
BendaNFOGKP4.51.080 dnp-1.080
BettinelliMCIGKP4.51.070 dnp-1.070
McNeilCRYMID5.41.070 dnp-1.070
RulliMCIGKP5.01.070 dnp-1.070
BardLEEDEF4.51.050 dnp-1.050
LivramentoNEWDEF4.91.050 dnp-1.050
OsmanBHAMID5.01.050 dnp-1.050
HatoCHEDEF4.51.040 dnp-1.040
JohnNFOGKP4.51.040 dnp-1.040
J.AnguloSUNFWD4.51.010 dnp-1.010
Norton-CuffyHULDEF4.01.010 dnp-1.010
OsorioCRYMID5.51.010 dnp-1.010
PopeNEWGKP4.91.010 dnp-1.010
Andrey SantosMUNMID4.80.990 dnp-0.990
GillespieNEWGKP4.50.990 dnp-0.990
GittensCHEMID5.90.990 dnp-0.990
AustinTOTGKP4.00.980 dnp-0.980
BouaddiMCIMID5.50.980 dnp-0.980
AmendaCOVDEF4.00.970 dnp-0.970
CairnsLEEGKP4.00.970 dnp-0.970
DarlowMUNGKP4.50.970 dnp-0.970
MeslierARSGKP4.90.970 dnp-0.970
ArrizabalagaARSGKP4.90.960 dnp-0.960
GozoCRYMID5.00.960 dnp-0.960
KingEVEGKP4.50.960 dnp-0.960
TraversEVEGKP5.00.960 dnp-0.960
WilsonCOVGKP4.40.960 dnp-0.960
GuessandCRYMID5.50.950 dnp-0.950
PhillipsHULGKP4.00.950 dnp-0.950
Di GregorioBOUGKP4.50.910 dnp-0.910
ForsterBOUGKP4.00.910 dnp-0.910
Hudson-OdoiNFOMID5.80.900 dnp-0.900
Jocelin.TSUNMID5.00.900 dnp-0.900
Ji-sooBREDEF4.50.890 dnp-0.890
MatthewsCRYGKP4.00.890 dnp-0.890
CherifCOVFWD5.00.880 dnp-0.880
LecomteFULGKP4.00.880 dnp-0.880
WoodmanLIVGKP4.00.880 dnp-0.880
MamardashviliLIVGKP4.90.870 dnp-0.870
ValdimarssonBREGKP4.50.870 dnp-0.870
J.CuencaFULDEF4.50.860 dnp-0.860
YoroMUNDEF4.90.860 dnp-0.860
SteeleBHAGKP4.00.850 dnp-0.850
MosqueraARSDEF5.30.840 dnp-0.840
EllborgSUNGKP4.50.820 dnp-0.820
McAteerIPSMID4.50.790 dnp-0.790
MaduekeARSMID6.20.780 dnp-0.780
HincapieARSDEF5.30.770 dnp-0.770
SessegnonFULDEF4.40.770 dnp-0.770
KovačićMCIMID5.40.720 dnp-0.720
AzeezBHAMID5.50.690 dnp-0.690
HughesCRYMID4.40.680 dnp-0.680
Aït-NouriMCIDEF5.30.650 dnp-0.650
McAidooMCIMID4.50.650 dnp-0.650
GrahamEVEMID4.50.640 dnp-0.640
HeavenMUNDEF4.40.630 dnp-0.630
KalimuendoNFOFWD5.40.630 dnp-0.630
MheukaCHEFWD4.50.630 dnp-0.630
CresswellLEEMID4.50.620 dnp-0.620
NunesBREMID4.50.620 dnp-0.620
ReedFULMID4.40.600 dnp-0.600
AllanMCIMID6.00.590 dnp-0.590
SambaMCIMID4.50.590 dnp-0.590
DowellHULMID4.50.580 dnp-0.580
MouzakitisHULMID5.00.580 dnp-0.580
OlusesiTOTMID4.40.580 dnp-0.580
Williams-BarnettTOTMID4.50.580 dnp-0.580
ZambranoHULMID4.50.580 dnp-0.580
ZepaFULMID4.50.580 dnp-0.580
ÁngelFULMID5.00.580 dnp-0.580
ÖmürHULMID4.90.580 dnp-0.580
AldereteSUNDEF4.90.570 dnp-0.570
MileyNEWMID4.50.570 dnp-0.570
O.RichardsNFODEF4.00.570 dnp-0.570
ShepherdCOVMID4.50.570 dnp-0.570
MatusiwaIPSMID4.90.560 dnp-0.560
MehmetiIPSMID4.90.560 dnp-0.560
TalbiSUNMID5.30.560 dnp-0.560
BurrowesAVLMID4.50.550 dnp-0.550
DaviesTOTDEF4.00.550 dnp-0.550
DoucouréCRYMID4.90.540 dnp-0.540
Drakes-ThomasCRYMID4.50.540 dnp-0.540
LienouLEEDEF4.00.540 dnp-0.540
LongstaffLEEMID4.90.540 dnp-0.540
McConnellLIVMID4.40.540 dnp-0.540
YatesNFOMID4.50.540 dnp-0.540
Bendito MantatoMUNMID4.50.530 dnp-0.530
ByfieldTOTDEF4.00.530 dnp-0.530
FletcherMUNMID4.40.530 dnp-0.530
RowswellTOTDEF4.00.530 dnp-0.530
TsimikasLIVDEF4.90.530 dnp-0.530
ZettererLEEGKP4.00.530 dnp-0.530
A.GarcíaAVLDEF4.00.520 dnp-0.520
BentleyCOVGKP4.00.520 dnp-0.520
EndoLIVMID4.90.520 dnp-0.520
Harwood-BellisAVLDEF4.50.520 dnp-0.520
J.FletcherMUNMID4.90.520 dnp-0.520
RoweAVLDEF4.00.520 dnp-0.520
ButtonIPSGKP4.00.510 dnp-0.510
PalmerIPSGKP4.00.510 dnp-0.510
BidwellCOVDEF4.00.500 dnp-0.500
DubravkaTOTGKP4.00.500 dnp-0.500
AhokaSUNMID4.50.490 dnp-0.490
AmassMUNDEF4.00.490 dnp-0.490
IbrahimBHAMID4.50.490 dnp-0.490
McCarthyHULDEF4.00.490 dnp-0.490
MinguezaCRYDEF4.40.490 dnp-0.490
OriolaBHAMID4.50.490 dnp-0.490
SanchezBOUDEF4.40.490 dnp-0.490
SolerBOUDEF4.00.490 dnp-0.490
DaviesLIVGKP4.00.480 dnp-0.480
O'NienSUNDEF4.00.470 dnp-0.470
PendersCHEGKP4.40.460 dnp-0.460
Vitor ReisMCIDEF4.50.460 dnp-0.460
LuckyLIVDEF4.00.450 dnp-0.450
M.BizotAVLGKP4.50.450 dnp-0.450
KipréIPSDEF3.90.440 dnp-0.440
HadjamBHADEF4.50.430 dnp-0.430
CoppolaBHADEF4.50.420 dnp-0.420
GomezLIVDEF4.90.420 dnp-0.420
AlcarazEVEMID4.90.410 dnp-0.410
RiggSUNMID4.90.410 dnp-0.410
AnselminoCHEDEF4.50.400 dnp-0.400
BogardeAVLMID5.00.380 dnp-0.380
TeteFULDEF4.40.340 dnp-0.340
TosinTOTDEF4.40.330 dnp-0.330
SakamotoCOVMID4.90.320 dnp-0.320
Hjertø-DahlHULMID4.90.310 dnp-0.310
BraithwaiteMCIDEF4.00.270 dnp-0.270
JaouenNEWGKP4.50.270 dnp-0.270
DominguezNFOMID4.90.220 dnp-0.220
FurlongIPSDEF4.00.220 dnp-0.220
HenryBREDEF4.40.220 dnp-0.220
J.RamseyNEWMID4.90.210 dnp-0.210
Walle EgeliIPSFWD4.50.210 dnp-0.210
LaceyMUNMID4.90.190 dnp-0.190
McNairHULDEF4.00.170 dnp-0.170
TargettHULDEF4.00.170 dnp-0.170

Every player in the frozen projection is on this page. 183 of them did not play a minute; FPL scored them 0, so their row reads 0 and is marked dnp. Those rows are not in the mean absolute error above, which compares only the 299 players who took the pitch. 3 players who did play are also left out, because they were not in the projection frozen before the deadline and there is nothing to compare the points against.

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Projection frozen 2026-09-17T12:18 UTC for the GW5 deadline 2026-09-18T17:30 UTC. Updated 07 Oct 2026. GoalIQ model predictions are statistical estimates for fun and analysis, not betting advice, and not a gambling service.