FPL points GW4: projected vs actual

The xP column is the projection this model published before the deadline, not a number recalculated afterwards. Actual points come from the official FPL API. Both are on the same row so you can check the model instead of taking its word for it. This page is the permanent record for Gameweek 4: it does not change when the next gameweek is played.

Across the 305 players in both the projection and the results, the model's mean absolute error is 2.1 points. It was too low on 126 of them and too high on 179. That number covers the players who took the pitch. Counting all 493 frozen players, including the 188 who never got on the pitch and were scored 0, the error is 1.68 points. The second figure is read from data/fpl_xp_gw_accuracy.json, the same file behind the accuracy table on the FPL page, and is not recalculated here.

PlayerTeamPosPricexPPtsDiffMinsGADCCSBPSBxGxA
GroßBHAMID5.63.9917+13.019012615630.820.19
BogleLEEDEF4.54.0115+10.998210314530.410.05
SchadeBREMID6.03.7115+11.299020404930.210.1
RayaARSGKP6.04.4614+9.549000013830.00.0
DavisIPSDEF4.03.0014+11.009012203510.520.19
BelloumiHULMID5.03.0713+9.935920104320.170.06
João PedroCHEFWD7.75.1112+6.899011204430.290.04
DunkBHADEF4.53.5512+8.459010613900.030.03
EmersonnIPSFWD5.53.3112+8.696211204530.440.05
De CuyperBHADEF4.84.7211+6.289001114120.030.04
MykolenkoEVEDEF4.53.3311+7.6790001113830.00.07
GvardiolMCIDEF5.63.1311+7.879001713630.020.0
Calvert-LewinLEEFWD6.04.9910+5.017711513720.870.0
KostoulasBHAFWD5.53.5710+6.438311714010.390.01
GabrielARSDEF8.05.479+3.5390001113020.020.01
HaalandMCIFWD15.55.419+3.599010313630.870.01
A.BeckerLIVGKP5.54.109+4.909000012920.00.0
JacquetLIVDEF5.03.989+5.029000513630.00.02
OkaforLEEMID5.93.519+5.497110613510.070.08
LenoFULGKP4.52.849+6.169000012920.00.0
Matheus N.MCIDEF5.90.429+8.5890001113410.00.01
SakaARSMID9.54.978+3.039010712801.380.08
VirgilLIVDEF6.54.848+3.1690001012500.00.01
TavernierBOUMID6.04.748+3.268210804420.20.47
Gibbs-WhiteNFOMID7.94.678+3.339001404230.160.91
TarkowskiEVEDEF6.04.578+3.439000813220.00.01
RogersCHEMID7.64.088+3.929010603110.210.02
VerbruggenBHAGKP4.53.908+4.109000013900.00.0
Van HeckeTOTDEF4.93.758+4.2590001312700.140.05
KluivertBOUMID6.03.588+4.426510403110.210.02
YalcouyéBHAMID4.53.538+4.476410612900.670.01
KamadaCRYMID5.03.068+4.948302103000.00.05
Strand LarsenCRYFWD6.02.718+5.298310203920.090.02
AyariBHAMID5.42.538+5.479010713800.310.03
AffengruberFULDEF4.50.418+7.5990001212300.00.0
MuharemovićLEEDEF5.04.667+2.3490011102700.00.02
KhalailiCRYDEF5.04.517+2.49901050400.220.14
AmpaduLEEMID5.54.037+2.9790011202500.070.02
KinskyTOTGKP4.53.597+3.419000012900.00.0
Igor JesusNFOFWD5.92.937+4.071510303420.130.01
DonnarummaMCIGKP5.52.817+4.199000012900.00.0
RobertsonTOTDEF4.52.637+4.379000213010.070.09
Bruno G.ARSMID6.80.797+6.214510302910.090.14
CalafioriARSDEF5.84.906+1.109000411800.060.01
VuskovicBHADEF5.04.506+1.507700912700.110.01
RiceARSMID7.44.276+1.7380011012700.00.37
BranthwaiteEVEDEF5.54.086+1.929000912700.00.0
PickfordEVEGKP5.54.026+1.989000012500.00.0
GuéhiMCIDEF6.03.596+2.419000712700.00.0
BoscagliBHADEF4.53.516+2.497700912500.010.03
McGinnAVLMID5.43.516+2.499001903010.00.11
MurilloNFODEF5.53.446+2.5690011201800.00.01
F.KadıoğluBHADEF4.43.346+2.669000212400.00.09
RúbenMCIDEF5.52.736+3.279000712400.00.0
Van de VenTOTDEF5.02.736+3.279000612700.00.02
AraujoLIVDEF5.42.516+3.497100412400.00.0
RobinsonFULDEF4.52.466+3.549000912500.050.05
CastagneFULDEF4.52.396+3.617100512300.00.01
BasseyFULDEF4.52.346+3.669000812700.050.0
TanakaLEEMID4.92.266+3.747101512400.060.03
GudmundssonLEEDEF4.52.036+3.977200412600.00.18
KonsaARSDEF4.41.556+4.459000811600.00.0
Maitland-NilesEVEDEF4.51.446+4.567400512300.030.14
AlyssonAVLMID5.01.216+4.794510202400.060.0
TouréNEWMID5.80.836+5.173310202400.280.01
PalmerCHEMID9.75.115-0.119001302800.130.25
AndersonMCIMID6.33.855+1.1590001411800.00.01
EvanilsonBOUFWD6.03.605+1.409001402200.00.25
CharlesFULMID5.02.055+2.9590001711900.00.02
FlemmingIPSFWD5.52.005+3.002710203200.520.0
DelapNFOFWD5.51.795+3.219010402500.630.08
ScottBOUMID6.14.244-0.2490001501900.190.05
JaneltBREMID5.03.614+0.3990002002000.00.08
McBurnieHULFWD5.53.494+0.518101301700.330.04
TimberCRYMID5.03.204+0.8090001602400.10.03
M.SangaréBREMID5.73.024+0.9890001301900.00.28
MainooMUNMID5.52.914+1.0990001302000.030.07
GarnerEVEMID6.02.794+1.2190001712300.040.02
GilesHULDEF4.02.784+1.229001702000.00.17
PalaciosIPSMID5.02.654+1.3590001301400.00.04
DorguMUNMID5.81.384+2.6290001201900.00.03
YarmoliukBREMID4.91.104+2.905901501900.00.21
AndrésBHAMID5.51.044+2.962501401000.240.01
DiomandeNFODEF5.40.794+3.2190001401000.110.0
StachLEEMID6.04.923-1.9287001011600.430.07
SzoboszlaiLIVMID7.04.783-1.789000612500.120.28
WirtzLIVMID7.44.603-1.609000911400.110.06
TraffordLEEGKP5.04.303-1.309000001700.00.0
SilvaBOUDEF5.04.053-1.059000100-200.580.23
ØdegaardARSMID6.74.033-1.038400512600.00.25
TruffertBOUDEF5.54.033-1.0390001602300.080.1
SemenyoMCIMID8.43.803-0.80900031700.00.06
GomezBHAMID5.03.563-0.56830031600.140.06
GeorgeEVEMID5.53.553-0.556400311300.050.15
SelsNFOGKP5.03.453-0.459000001900.00.0
KelleherBREGKP5.03.253-0.259000001900.00.0
ArmstrongEVEMID5.03.173-0.17900051600.00.02
McAteeNFOMID5.53.153-0.1581001201800.030.38
KingFULMID5.53.113-0.117600411900.210.09
BentancurTOTMID5.53.103-0.1062001011500.00.04
TonaliTOTMID5.42.993+0.0190001111600.090.31
BobbFULMID5.52.873+0.136200711200.00.13
IwobiFULMID5.42.843+0.167600411500.150.11
TzolisARSMID6.42.813+0.198000311000.00.13
SchlagerNFOMID5.02.753+0.2590001601800.060.02
FernandesTOTMID5.82.223+0.786200411500.110.03
JohnsonEVEMID5.92.153+0.857400611300.160.18
BergeFULMID5.02.043+0.969000911400.00.01
BarcolaLIVMID8.01.823+1.18710051900.210.03
SávioTOTMID6.51.803+1.209000612200.10.26
GrayTOTMID5.01.723+1.2884001111300.090.03
SchusterBREDEF4.51.493+1.519000120500.00.01
Wan-BissakaAVLDEF4.51.303+1.7090001201100.00.06
LivramentoNEWDEF4.90.743+2.26320130900.00.01
AhanorCRYDEF4.50.553+2.4590001101000.00.01
B.FernandesMUNMID12.05.502-3.509000701700.030.33
IsakLIVFWD9.14.892-2.89900011500.50.0
MbeumoMUNMID7.94.802-2.80900050900.490.08
JustinLEEDEF4.54.432-2.439000501100.00.28
RichardsCRYDEF5.04.242-2.249000130200.00.06
HillBOUDEF5.54.172-2.179000110500.00.01
Dewsbury-HallEVEMID6.54.112-2.119000611600.170.09
BuendíaAVLMID5.94.052-2.05620050800.00.01
BarryEVEFWD5.63.902-1.90900021500.670.03
BarkleyAVLMID5.03.872-1.876200701400.030.01
WhartonCRYMID5.53.832-1.837600501300.080.04
RayanBOUMID6.43.832-1.83810030700.390.02
EncisoIPSMID5.53.742-1.74900050700.050.2
GonzaloFULFWD6.03.732-1.73760031500.20.03
MartinezCHEGKP5.03.712-1.719000001000.00.0
CunhaMUNMID7.93.632-1.63900020800.110.03
TzolakisHULGKP4.63.432-1.439000001500.00.0
KamaraAVLMID5.03.342-1.349000501700.00.05
SlaterHULMID4.53.322-1.3290001102200.040.1
N.WilliamsNFODEF5.03.312-1.31900030900.20.16
BarnesNEWMID6.03.302-1.309000601300.290.31
MarmoushTOTFWD7.03.252-1.25760051900.020.03
WissaNEWFWD6.23.242-1.24900050300.160.0
TielemansMUNMID5.93.212-1.216600501500.00.04
NetoCHEMID6.53.152-1.158500701700.050.1
ThiawNEWDEF5.03.152-1.159000110-600.00.0
BotmanNEWDEF5.03.132-1.139000170200.00.0
LammensMUNGKP5.03.092-1.09900000500.00.0
RoefsSUNGKP5.03.072-1.07900000900.00.0
EganHULDEF4.13.042-1.049000140-100.040.0
SuzukiAVLGKP5.03.012-1.019000001700.00.01
RashfordMUNMID7.02.912-0.91820050600.120.08
ElvediLEEDEF4.52.882-0.88900090800.050.0
GrimesCOVMID5.02.802-0.80830030900.050.02
RudoniCOVMID5.02.732-0.737200501100.330.73
SadikiSUNMID4.92.582-0.5890001001100.040.0
MeunierSUNDEF4.52.552-0.55750020500.130.0
DalotMUNDEF4.92.442-0.44900030900.020.05
MartinezMUNDEF5.02.312-0.319000601400.030.08
LaviaCHEMID5.02.232-0.236800901400.00.07
OnyekaCOVMID4.92.222-0.227200701100.030.01
AdamsBOUMID5.02.032-0.0381001001600.030.02
N.AnguloSUNMID5.02.012-0.01690030700.00.0
AinaNFODEF4.51.902+0.109000801100.00.01
PinnockCOVDEF4.51.752+0.259000100-1100.010.0
EnzoMCIMID6.91.642+0.3681001011700.180.13
SolankeTOTFWD5.91.642+0.36620021400.00.01
SteurNEWMID4.91.202+0.807100701400.00.03
BenitezCRYGKP4.51.012+0.99900000300.00.0
MuñozNFODEF5.40.862+1.149000702300.220.18
WhiteARSDEF5.54.831-3.83450030400.00.0
LacroixCHEDEF6.04.611-3.6140030400.00.0
ThiagoBREFWD7.94.071-3.07900010300.110.03
HavertzARSFWD7.53.811-2.81900021000.340.02
YeremyCRYMID5.53.741-2.74360010400.00.01
MitchellCRYDEF4.53.711-2.71760010600.00.06
KerkezLIVDEF5.43.711-2.71450030600.00.01
GakpoLIVMID7.23.691-2.69300020300.080.02
NdiayeMCIMID5.93.641-2.6445001001500.00.01
George HemmingsAVLMID4.53.451-2.45450010300.00.01
TelTOTMID5.83.381-2.38270000300.010.09
ScherpenIPSGKP4.53.341-2.34900000600.00.0
Lewis-PotterBREMID5.53.331-2.33590020000.030.13
HorníčekNEWGKP5.03.331-2.33900000200.00.0
CherkiMCIMID7.83.301-2.30450010400.030.06
MunozLIVMID6.53.301-2.30590020500.10.0
PetrovićBOUGKP4.53.291-2.29900000000.00.0
MaedaIPSMID5.43.211-2.21270000100.00.0
MaatsenAVLDEF4.53.201-2.20900040700.180.03
XhakaSUNMID5.53.141-2.1490001101900.00.37
FatawuIPSMID5.53.141-2.14610070600.00.05
JamesCHEDEF5.43.121-2.129000401100.160.14
DamsgaardBREMID5.53.101-2.10300040300.10.0
MaguireMUNDEF4.93.041-2.04900050400.120.01
AjayiHULDEF4.13.031-2.03900030-600.130.0
O'SheaIPSDEF4.02.981-1.98900090500.00.08
Mac AllisterLIVMID5.42.851-1.85300040700.020.02
AjerBREDEF4.52.821-1.82900090000.020.0
Lewis-SkellyARSMID5.52.821-1.82450000200.00.0
LindelöfAVLDEF4.52.771-1.77900020200.440.01
DiopIPSDEF4.02.761-1.76900070800.00.13
FofanaCHEDEF5.02.741-1.748500601000.00.03
MendyHULDEF4.12.711-1.71580070300.00.0
GustoCHEDEF5.02.701-1.70770050700.040.07
LukićIPSMID5.02.691-1.697600100800.00.1
WilsonLEEMID6.32.681-1.68180020400.00.03
BrobbeySUNFWD5.92.641-1.64900040400.00.01
NdoyeNFOMID5.52.571-1.57740020100.70.25
GreavesIPSDEF4.02.541-1.54870060700.00.01
YirenkyiCOVMID4.92.441-1.44170000300.00.01
FrimpongLIVDEF5.42.381-1.381800401200.00.12
WillockNEWMID5.02.291-1.29320040800.120.06
StroudHULMID5.02.281-1.28590050300.010.0
AaronsonLEEMID5.42.281-1.28180010400.00.0
O.DangoBREMID6.42.251-1.25300040400.020.01
ColwillCHEDEF4.92.151-1.15900060800.00.01
HackneyEVEMID5.52.131-1.13150010300.00.02
AnthonyBREMID6.02.121-1.1259001101200.00.1
Thomas-AsanteCOVFWD5.02.121-1.12170000700.210.03
N.GonzalezNEWMID5.52.101-1.10180010300.00.0
CoyleHULDEF4.02.051-1.05810030200.130.01
GravenberchLIVMID5.92.021-1.0259001001300.040.01
PauAVLDEF4.52.021-1.02240000400.00.0
ŠeškoMUNFWD7.01.991-0.99230020400.060.0
KayodeBREDEF4.61.971-0.97190010500.00.15
Fernandez-PardoNEWFWD6.01.801-0.80570020500.00.01
Mason-ClarkCOVMID5.41.781-0.78590040500.490.01
ThomasHULMID5.51.751-0.75300040600.020.03
NmechaLEEFWD5.41.711-0.71120010400.00.01
ZirkzeeMUNFWD5.41.711-0.7170030400.00.01
IsidorSUNFWD5.51.701-0.70200010100.00.0
MbayeAVLMID6.01.691-0.69270020600.020.13
NgumohaLIVMID5.81.611-0.61180010-100.110.0
DansoSUNDEF5.01.611-0.61900040600.00.08
ChilwellCRYDEF4.51.581-0.58130010100.120.01
GrealishEVEMID6.51.461-0.46250040400.00.01
KudusTOTMID6.51.451-0.45270020800.00.05
O'BrienEVEDEF4.91.431-0.43150010200.00.0
AbrahamAVLFWD5.51.421-0.42450010400.00.0
FofanaSUNMID5.51.421-0.42140000200.00.0
MerinoARSMID5.91.411-0.4150000300.00.0
LarssonFULMID5.01.401-0.40130010300.00.01
ClarkeIPSMID5.51.391-0.39620020800.150.02
ChoHULMID5.01.391-0.39300020300.470.16
ChavarriaCHEDEF4.91.361-0.36450010400.00.01
WoodNFOFWD5.91.361-0.3610000300.00.0
CostinhaBHADEF4.51.351-0.3560010300.00.0
O'ReillyMCIDEF6.41.321-0.3280000300.00.0
EstêvãoCHEMID6.41.291-0.2940010600.030.07
ZubimendiARSMID5.41.221-0.2290020500.00.0
VazHULFWD5.01.201-0.2080010300.00.0
EzeARSMID6.41.141-0.1490000300.00.0
TorpCOVMID5.41.141-0.1460000300.00.0
Smith RoweFULMID5.41.131-0.13130020300.00.0
RodríguezBOUFWD6.01.131-0.1310000300.00.0
O'RileyBHAMID5.51.121-0.1260010400.00.01
StruijkBHADEF5.01.111-0.11120040400.00.01
HickeyBREDEF4.51.081-0.08700070400.030.03
OsmanBHAMID5.01.061-0.06120010200.050.01
CrooksHULMID4.51.031-0.036800100200.00.0
MunizFULFWD5.41.001+0.00130010400.00.0
OuattaraIPSDEF4.00.971+0.0320010500.00.0
KevinFULMID5.40.971+0.03180030400.030.07
HerringtonHULDEF4.00.941+0.06310010-100.00.01
GozoCRYMID5.00.941+0.0660000300.00.0
WelbeckCHEFWD5.90.851+0.15120010400.00.06
MaddisonTOTMID6.30.851+0.15130030300.00.01
JamesLEEMID5.00.831+0.1770020400.110.0
ChristieBOUMID5.00.751+0.25240070700.00.12
TsimikasLIVDEF4.90.711+0.29450030200.00.01
Gannon-DoakBOUMID4.90.681+0.3280040600.10.03
I.SangaréNFOMID4.90.651+0.3580020200.060.01
CherifCOVFWD5.00.651+0.35300010300.00.0
LermaCRYMID4.90.591+0.4160010300.00.0
BardLEEDEF4.50.591+0.41180020100.00.0
J.TimberARSDEF6.50.521+0.48450030300.00.01
TosinTOTDEF4.40.521+0.4850040500.00.0
FlorentinoIPSMID4.90.501+0.50130020800.00.01
HughesCRYMID4.50.491+0.51130040600.00.04
BergvallTOTMID5.40.461+0.54270040800.060.25
DioufBREDEF4.50.401+0.60300010400.00.01
LongstaffLEEMID4.90.311+0.6920000400.00.0
BambaNEWMID4.90.301+0.70100020400.00.0
ThomasCOVDEF4.03.940-3.94900080-1700.190.07
BallardSUNDEF4.93.360-3.36900060000.080.01
E.Le FéeSUNMID5.93.340-3.34900040600.850.59
van EwijkCOVDEF4.03.300-3.30900070-500.00.04
N.JacksonAVLFWD6.53.240-3.24450000000.00.04
DasilvaCOVDEF4.03.230-3.23900030-700.00.33
AmendaCOVDEF4.03.110-3.11900080-1200.00.0
RushworthCOVGKP4.53.050-3.05900000-500.00.01
HallNEWDEF5.13.000-3.00900060900.020.01
L.MileyNEWMID5.52.950-2.957900100900.00.03
SmithBOUDEF4.52.690-2.69900060-100.00.01
CookBOUMID5.02.650-2.6580020-100.00.0
MukieleSUNDEF5.52.640-2.64900060-500.70.02
HatoCHEDEF4.52.090-2.09450030-800.00.1
DedićNEWDEF4.52.030-2.03570060-300.00.0
MingsAVLDEF4.51.910-1.91650050000.090.0
TomiyasuCRYDEF4.51.870-1.87530050600.00.01
J.MurphyNEWMID5.91.450-1.45560040200.00.14
BrooksBOUMID5.00.950-0.9570030-100.00.0
Norton-CuffyHULDEF4.00.950-0.9580000000.050.0
BarcoCHEMID5.50.760-0.76210020700.00.09
IroegbunamHULMID5.00.570-0.57210020200.00.0
TeteFULDEF4.40.430-0.43270030-100.00.0
AwoniyiCOVFWD5.53.72-2-5.72520020-500.060.01
FodenMCIMID7.02.84-2-4.84220000-400.00.02
ReinildoSUNDEF4.52.32-2-4.32900070-1200.00.01
DisasiCRYDEF4.52.05-3-5.05330060-1800.00.0
CanvotCRYDEF4.94.280 dnp-4.280
HendersonCRYGKP5.03.860 dnp-3.860
NketiahCRYFWD5.53.560 dnp-3.560
MilenkovićNFODEF5.53.120 dnp-3.120
PalaciosFULMID5.53.080 dnp-3.080
Pedro PorroTOTDEF5.53.010 dnp-3.010
RöhlEVEMID5.02.930 dnp-2.930
KhusanovMCIDEF5.52.840 dnp-2.840
ElangaNEWMID6.12.800 dnp-2.800
Jair CunhaNFODEF4.52.780 dnp-2.780
AcheampongCHEDEF4.52.690 dnp-2.690
AndersenFULDEF5.02.350 dnp-2.350
BijolLEEDEF5.02.290 dnp-2.290
CashAVLDEF4.52.290 dnp-2.290
ShawMUNDEF4.42.170 dnp-2.170
Gourna-DouathHULMID5.01.950 dnp-1.950
NúñezIPSMID5.01.940 dnp-1.940
TchaounaCOVMID5.41.880 dnp-1.880
UdogieTOTDEF4.51.870 dnp-1.870
SenesiTOTDEF5.91.850 dnp-1.850
GarnachoAVLMID5.91.810 dnp-1.810
MosqueraARSDEF5.41.810 dnp-1.810
HumeSUNDEF4.41.800 dnp-1.800
KeaneEVEDEF4.91.720 dnp-1.720
GallagherTOTMID5.41.680 dnp-1.680
SimmsCOVFWD5.01.650 dnp-1.650
SvobodaBHADEF5.01.650 dnp-1.650
McNeilCRYMID5.41.640 dnp-1.640
DavidBHAFWD6.01.630 dnp-1.630
OsorioCRYMID5.51.630 dnp-1.630
Andrey SantosMUNMID4.91.590 dnp-1.590
GbohoCOVMID5.51.590 dnp-1.590
HamerCOVMID5.41.490 dnp-1.490
MazraouiMUNDEF4.41.490 dnp-1.490
DiakitéBOUDEF5.01.450 dnp-1.450
WilsonBREFWD5.51.410 dnp-1.410
GuessandCRYMID5.51.400 dnp-1.400
AkpomIPSFWD5.01.350 dnp-1.350
WaltonIPSGKP4.51.340 dnp-1.340
HinshelwoodBHAMID6.01.310 dnp-1.310
DannsLIVFWD4.51.290 dnp-1.290
PalestraCHEDEF5.41.240 dnp-1.240
BouaddiMCIMID5.51.220 dnp-1.220
SessegnonFULDEF4.51.220 dnp-1.220
McAteerIPSMID4.51.210 dnp-1.210
KipréIPSDEF4.01.170 dnp-1.170
ObiMUNFWD4.51.150 dnp-1.150
J.RamseyNEWMID4.91.140 dnp-1.140
CollinsBREDEF5.51.120 dnp-1.120
RuggeriAVLDEF4.51.090 dnp-1.090
GeorginioBHAFWD5.51.070 dnp-1.070
JebbisonBOUFWD5.01.070 dnp-1.070
MeslierARSGKP4.91.070 dnp-1.070
ArrizabalagaARSGKP4.91.060 dnp-1.060
FuroBREFWD4.51.060 dnp-1.060
GittensCHEMID5.91.060 dnp-1.060
McAidooMCIMID4.51.060 dnp-1.060
Kusi-AsareFULFWD4.51.050 dnp-1.050
SteeleBHAGKP4.01.040 dnp-1.040
AkintolaHULMID5.01.020 dnp-1.020
WoodmanLIVGKP4.01.020 dnp-1.020
YoroMUNDEF4.91.020 dnp-1.020
CairnsLEEGKP4.01.010 dnp-1.010
HincapieARSDEF5.31.010 dnp-1.010
KingEVEGKP4.51.000 dnp-1.000
MamardashviliLIVGKP4.91.000 dnp-1.000
MatthewsCRYGKP4.01.000 dnp-1.000
TraversEVEGKP5.01.000 dnp-1.000
MaduekeARSMID6.30.990 dnp-0.990
AustinTOTGKP4.00.980 dnp-0.980
J.AnguloSUNFWD4.50.980 dnp-0.980
J.CuencaFULDEF4.50.970 dnp-0.970
EmeghaCHEFWD5.00.950 dnp-0.950
BendaNFOGKP4.50.930 dnp-0.930
Di GregorioBOUGKP4.50.930 dnp-0.930
ForsterBOUGKP4.00.930 dnp-0.930
PopeNEWGKP4.90.920 dnp-0.920
WilsonCOVGKP4.50.910 dnp-0.910
GillespieNEWGKP4.50.900 dnp-0.900
Jocelin.TSUNMID5.00.890 dnp-0.890
JohnNFOGKP4.50.890 dnp-0.890
KoumasLIVMID5.00.880 dnp-0.880
M.BizotAVLGKP4.50.870 dnp-0.870
EllborgSUNGKP4.50.860 dnp-0.860
NyoniLIVMID4.90.860 dnp-0.860
ValdimarssonBREGKP4.50.860 dnp-0.860
DarlowMUNGKP4.50.850 dnp-0.850
LecomteFULGKP4.00.850 dnp-0.850
AlcarazEVEMID5.00.840 dnp-0.840
BettinelliMCIGKP4.50.840 dnp-0.840
MudrykTOTMID5.40.840 dnp-0.840
PhillipsHULGKP4.00.840 dnp-0.840
RulliMCIGKP5.00.840 dnp-0.840
GyökeresARSFWD7.20.820 dnp-0.820
KovačićMCIMID5.40.800 dnp-0.800
HeavenMUNDEF4.40.790 dnp-0.790
SchärNEWDEF5.00.790 dnp-0.790
NetzNFODEF4.50.770 dnp-0.770
MinguezaCRYDEF4.40.760 dnp-0.760
Hudson-OdoiNFOMID5.90.740 dnp-0.740
O'NienSUNDEF4.00.720 dnp-0.720
MheukaCHEFWD4.50.670 dnp-0.670
DoucouréCRYMID4.90.660 dnp-0.660
Drakes-ThomasCRYMID4.50.660 dnp-0.660
M.FrançaCRYMID4.90.660 dnp-0.660
AldereteSUNDEF4.90.650 dnp-0.650
TalbiSUNMID5.40.650 dnp-0.650
RiggSUNMID4.90.630 dnp-0.630
BahoyaLEEMID5.00.620 dnp-0.620
CresswellLEEMID4.50.620 dnp-0.620
DowmanARSMID5.30.600 dnp-0.600
McConnellLIVMID4.50.600 dnp-0.600
BurrowesAVLMID4.50.590 dnp-0.590
LienouLEEDEF4.00.590 dnp-0.590
LuckyLIVDEF4.00.580 dnp-0.580
Williams-BarnettTOTMID4.50.580 dnp-0.580
EndoLIVMID5.00.570 dnp-0.570
MehmetiIPSMID4.90.570 dnp-0.570
OlusesiTOTMID4.50.570 dnp-0.570
OriolaBHAMID4.50.570 dnp-0.570
QuendaCHEMID5.40.570 dnp-0.570
DaviesLIVGKP4.00.560 dnp-0.560
DowellHULMID4.50.560 dnp-0.560
GelhardtHULMID5.00.560 dnp-0.560
GrahamEVEMID4.50.560 dnp-0.560
MouzakitisHULMID5.00.560 dnp-0.560
ShepherdCOVMID4.50.560 dnp-0.560
ZambranoHULMID4.50.560 dnp-0.560
ZettererLEEGKP4.00.560 dnp-0.560
ÖmürHULMID4.90.560 dnp-0.560
DaviesTOTDEF4.00.550 dnp-0.550
HadjamBHADEF4.50.550 dnp-0.550
PendersCHEGKP4.50.550 dnp-0.550
AnselminoCHEDEF4.50.540 dnp-0.540
Bendito MantatoMUNMID4.50.540 dnp-0.540
FletcherMUNMID4.50.540 dnp-0.540
MountMUNMID5.40.540 dnp-0.540
ByfieldTOTDEF4.00.530 dnp-0.530
CaicedoCHEMID5.40.530 dnp-0.530
CarvalhoBREMID5.00.530 dnp-0.530
CoppolaBHADEF4.50.530 dnp-0.530
DiblingEVEMID5.40.530 dnp-0.530
J.FletcherMUNMID4.90.530 dnp-0.530
ReedFULMID4.50.530 dnp-0.530
RowswellTOTDEF4.00.530 dnp-0.530
YatesNFOMID4.50.530 dnp-0.530
AllanMCIMID6.00.520 dnp-0.520
HenryBREDEF4.50.520 dnp-0.520
SambaMCIMID4.50.520 dnp-0.520
SanchezBOUDEF4.50.520 dnp-0.520
SolerBOUDEF4.00.520 dnp-0.520
ZepaFULMID4.50.520 dnp-0.520
ÁngelFULMID5.00.520 dnp-0.520
Harwood-BellisAVLDEF4.50.510 dnp-0.510
RoweAVLDEF4.00.510 dnp-0.510
A.GarcíaAVLDEF4.00.500 dnp-0.500
DubravkaTOTGKP4.00.500 dnp-0.500
AhokaSUNMID4.50.490 dnp-0.490
BentleyCOVGKP4.00.490 dnp-0.490
KalimuendoNFOFWD5.40.490 dnp-0.490
BidwellCOVDEF4.00.480 dnp-0.480
ButtonIPSGKP4.00.480 dnp-0.480
LatibeaudiereCOVDEF4.00.480 dnp-0.480
O.RichardsNFODEF4.00.480 dnp-0.480
PalmerIPSGKP4.00.480 dnp-0.480
SakamotoCOVMID4.90.480 dnp-0.480
Aït-NouriMCIDEF5.30.460 dnp-0.460
AmassMUNDEF4.00.450 dnp-0.450
BraithwaiteMCIDEF4.00.450 dnp-0.450
Hjertø-DahlHULMID4.90.450 dnp-0.450
Ji-sooBREDEF4.50.430 dnp-0.430
McCarthyHULDEF4.00.430 dnp-0.430
MethalieSUNDEF4.50.430 dnp-0.430
ShaharNEWDEF4.00.420 dnp-0.420
Vitor ReisMCIDEF4.50.390 dnp-0.390
HendersonCHEMID4.90.380 dnp-0.380
Walle EgeliIPSFWD4.50.350 dnp-0.350
DominguezNFOMID4.90.340 dnp-0.340
FurlongIPSDEF4.00.320 dnp-0.320
Tóth.ABOUMID5.00.320 dnp-0.320
De FougerollesFULDEF4.00.310 dnp-0.310
BogardeAVLMID5.00.300 dnp-0.300
LaceyMUNMID4.90.300 dnp-0.300
AzeezBHAMID5.50.290 dnp-0.290
TargettHULDEF4.00.260 dnp-0.260
JaouenNEWGKP4.50.250 dnp-0.250
McNairHULDEF4.00.250 dnp-0.250
LewisMCIDEF4.50.140 dnp-0.140

Every player in the frozen projection is on this page. 188 of them did not play a minute; FPL scored them 0, so their row reads 0 and is marked dnp. Those rows are not in the mean absolute error above, which compares only the 305 players who took the pitch. 2 players who did play are also left out, because they were not in the projection frozen before the deadline and there is nothing to compare the points against.

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Projection frozen 2026-09-11T07:45 UTC for the GW4 deadline 2026-09-12T12:30 UTC. Graded 2026-09-15. GoalIQ model predictions are statistical estimates for fun and analysis, not betting advice, and not a gambling service.