FPL Expected Points: Every Player Ranked by xP (next 6 GWs)

B.Fernandes#1 · MUN · 34.9 xP · 12.0m

Haaland#2 · MCI · 32.5 xP · 15.5m

Gabriel#3 · ARS · 31.0 xP · 8.0m

Top 100 by expected points (of 500 players)

Ranked by total xP over the next 6 gameweeks. xP/90 is the scoring rate, Start% is how likely he is to start, xMins combines the two.

#	Player	Team	Pos	Price	6GW xP	xP/GW	xP/90	Start%	xMins	Own%
1	B.Fernandes	MUN	MID	12.0	34.9	5.82	6.18	88	86	48.0
2	Haaland	MCI	FWD	15.5	32.5	5.42	6.35	81	77	73.3
3	Gabriel	ARS	DEF	8.0	31.0	5.16	5.68	84	83	27.3
4	Thiago	BRE	FWD	8.0	28.9	4.81	4.83	92	89	16.2
5	Tarkowski	EVE	DEF	6.0	28.6	4.77	4.77	93	90	9.7
6	Anderson	MCI	MID	6.5	28.1	4.68	4.78	94	87	10.9
7	Guéhi	MCI	DEF	6.0	27.3	4.55	4.93	85	84	22.5
8	Ndiaye	EVE	MID	6.0	27.0	4.50	4.52	97	89	15.5
9	Rice	ARS	MID	7.5	26.6	4.43	4.87	85	81	21.4
10	Thiaw	NEWturnover	DEF	5.0	26.3	4.39	4.46	96	89	2.0
11	Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	MID	6.5	26.3	4.38	4.47	94	87	3.6
12	Gibbs-White	NFO	MID	8.0	26.2	4.37	4.69	85	82	11.6
13	Tavernier	BOU	MID	6.0	26.1	4.34	4.46	91	86	1.8
14	Enzo	CHE	MID	7.0	25.6	4.27	4.58	86	84	5.5
15	Semenyo	MCI	MID	8.5	25.4	4.24	4.68	98	83	28.0
16	Senesi	TOT	DEF	6.0	25.3	4.21	4.45	86	86	10.1
17	Szoboszlai	LIV	MID	7.0	25.2	4.19	4.29	90	89	42.2
18	Palmer	CHE	MID	9.5	24.8	4.14	5.00	80	74	11.0
19	Virgil	LIV	DEF	6.5	24.7	4.11	4.16	100	90	17.0
20	Mbeumo	MUN	MID	8.0	24.5	4.09	5.27	75	66	27.5
21	Pickford	EVE	GKP	5.5	24.4	4.07	4.07	90	90	8.7
22	Verbruggen	BHA	GKP	4.5	24.1	4.02	4.02	92	90	18.4
23	Watkins	AVL	FWD	8.0	24.0	4.00	4.53	84	78	12.5
24	Scott	BOU	MID	6.0	23.9	3.98	4.09	98	86	1.6
25	Lammens	MUN	GKP	5.0	23.9	3.98	4.05	90	89	19.3
26	Raya	ARS	GKP	6.0	23.9	3.98	4.35	84	84	31.3
27	Struijk	BHA	DEF	5.0	23.8	3.96	4.44	86	82	0.4
28	Calvert-Lewin	LEE	FWD	6.0	23.6	3.94	4.49	79	77	25.6
29	Groß	BHA	MID	5.5	23.6	3.93	3.93	100	90	11.3
30	O'Reilly	MCI	DEF	6.5	23.5	3.92	5.02	73	70	22.1
31	F.Kadıoğlu	BHA	DEF	4.5	23.4	3.90	3.90	96	89	3.2
32	Ampadu	LEE	MID	5.5	23.3	3.89	3.89	97	90	1.6
33	Truffert	BOU	DEF	5.5	23.1	3.85	3.85	100	89	4.9
34	Donnarumma	MCI	GKP	5.5	22.9	3.81	3.86	91	90	11.1
35	Leno	FUL	GKP	4.5	22.8	3.79	3.83	90	90	3.3
36	Gakpo	LIV	MID	7.0	22.6	3.77	4.15	86	79	3.3
37	Collins	BRE	DEF	5.5	22.6	3.77	4.06	85	84	2.0
38	Lacroix	CHE	DEF	6.0	22.6	3.76	4.22	86	80	11.1
39	Bassey	FUL	DEF	4.5	22.5	3.75	3.97	88	86	0.6
40	N.Williams	NFO	DEF	5.0	22.4	3.74	4.08	86	84	11.7
41	E.Le Fée	SUN	MID	6.0	22.4	3.73	4.14	82	81	12.7
42	Rayan	BOU	MID	6.5	22.4	3.73	3.87	100	82	3.3
43	Keane	EVE	DEF	5.0	22.3	3.72	4.70	72	69	1.7
44	Hill	BOU	DEF	5.5	22.2	3.71	3.93	87	84	1.1
45	Kelleher	BRE	GKP	5.0	22.2	3.70	3.84	87	87	5.7
46	Matheus N.	MCI	DEF	6.0	22.1	3.69	4.20	84	81	4.5
47	O'Brien	EVE	DEF	5.0	22.0	3.67	3.68	92	85	0.5
48	Milenković	NFO	DEF	5.5	22.0	3.66	3.72	89	89	2.3
49	Mykolenko	EVE	DEF	4.5	21.7	3.62	3.66	90	89	1.3
50	Fernandes	TOT	MID	6.0	21.7	3.61	3.69	98	88	2.7
51	Hinshelwood	BHA	MID	6.0	21.2	3.54	4.09	83	73	0.2
52	Wilson	LEE	MID	6.5	21.2	3.53	4.06	82	73	7.8
53	Henderson	CRY	GKP	5.0	21.1	3.52	3.63	89	88	3.2
54	Rogers	CHE	MID	7.5	21.1	3.52	3.76	87	84	26.2
55	Petrović	BOU	GKP	4.5	21.1	3.51	3.51	92	90	3.7
56	Saka	ARS	MID	9.5	21.0	3.51	5.60	62	56	10.6
57	Justin	LEE	DEF	4.5	20.7	3.45	3.86	83	79	0.6
58	Van Hecke	TOT	DEF	5.0	20.6	3.44	3.76	84	82	8.7
59	O.Dango	BRE	MID	6.5	20.5	3.42	4.72	64	63	1.4
60	Sánchez	CHE	GKP	5.0	20.5	3.42	3.64	88	84	2.1
61	Cunha	MUN	MID	8.0	20.5	3.42	4.41	73	68	12.0
62	Rodon	LEE	DEF	4.5	20.4	3.40	3.65	86	84	2.0
63	Schade	BRE	MID	6.0	20.4	3.40	4.36	71	67	2.2
64	João Pedro	CHE	FWD	7.5	20.2	3.36	4.75	64	62	56.5
65	Cherki	MCI	MID	7.5	20.1	3.35	5.47	49	52	8.8
66	Evanilson	BOU	FWD	6.0	20.0	3.34	3.76	87	77	2.1
67	Botman	NEWturnover	DEF	5.0	19.8	3.30	4.42	73	68	0.4
68	Shaw	MUN	DEF	4.5	19.7	3.29	3.41	95	84	24.1
69	Dunk	BHA	DEF	4.5	19.7	3.29	3.89	77	75	0.9
70	Sarr	CRY	MID	6.5	19.7	3.28	4.73	66	63	7.4
71	Kayode	BRE	DEF	4.5	19.6	3.27	3.27	97	89	3.7
72	Aaronson	LEE	MID	5.5	19.5	3.25	3.75	87	73	0.9
73	Konsa	AVL	DEF	4.5	19.5	3.25	3.32	91	89	15.8
74	Disasi	CHE	DEF	4.5	19.4	3.23	3.27	99	89	0.1
75	Caicedo	CHE	MID	5.5	19.3	3.22	3.54	85	80	4.1
76	Jensen	BRE	MID	5.5	19.2	3.20	3.73	76	72	0.2
77	Stach	LEE	MID	6.0	19.2	3.20	4.27	73	64	1.1
78	Gravenberch	LIV	MID	6.0	19.1	3.19	3.54	84	80	2.0
79	Bruno G.	ARS	MID	7.0	19.1	3.19	4.86	63	58	10.2
80	Welbeck	CHE	FWD	6.0	19.1	3.18	4.46	65	59	2.4
81	Sels	NFO	GKP	5.0	19.0	3.16	3.95	75	72	1.5
82	Isak	LIV	FWD	9.0	18.9	3.15	4.07	85	64	14.0
83	Wirtz	LIV	MID	7.5	18.9	3.15	4.57	64	59	14.9
84	Zubimendi	ARS	MID	5.5	18.9	3.14	3.77	77	73	1.4
85	Dalot	MUN	DEF	5.0	18.8	3.14	4.01	72	70	3.1
86	Martinez	AVL	GKP	5.0	18.8	3.13	3.89	76	73	5.0
87	Hall	NEWturnover	DEF	5.0	18.6	3.11	3.70	80	75	3.9
88	Bijol	LEE	DEF	5.0	18.6	3.11	3.99	71	67	0.3
89	Cash	AVL	DEF	4.5	18.6	3.10	3.23	93	87	8.5
90	Pope	NEWturnover	GKP	5.0	18.6	3.10	3.96	74	70	1.2
91	Anthony	BRE	MID	6.0	18.5	3.09	3.58	77	74	0.2
92	Hincapie	ARS	DEF	5.5	18.5	3.09	4.98	63	58	3.7
93	Castagne	FUL	DEF	4.5	18.5	3.08	3.79	76	72	0.3
94	Beto	EVE	FWD	5.5	18.4	3.07	5.04	56	46	3.0
95	Robinson	FUL	DEF	4.5	18.3	3.05	4.12	72	64	2.4
96	Mac Allister	LIV	MID	5.5	18.3	3.04	3.49	79	77	1.9
97	Richards	CRY	DEF	5.0	18.2	3.03	3.95	70	70	0.8
98	Mitchell	CRY	DEF	4.5	18.1	3.03	3.42	83	82	6.9
99	Wharton	CRY	MID	5.5	18.1	3.02	4.04	66	65	0.5
100	Gomez	BHA	MID	5.0	18.1	3.01	4.07	79	63	2.7

Flagged teams. Coventry, Hull, Ipswich are newly promoted, so there are no Premier League results to fit a team rating on and the model starts them from a baseline. Newcastle United lost an unusually large share of last season's minutes, and team ratings are fitted on results, so they still read as last season's squad. The flag means the projection is working with weaker information. It does not say which way that moves the number, because that is the part the data would not support. Their players carry a tag in the table, 4 of them in this top 100.

Start% near 50 means the model is split. Those totals are a bet on team news, not a settled projection. A keeper on 51% is not a 45-minute keeper.

Our pre-season minutes run high at the top. We tested our own prior across the last three summers. Players we projected at 80+ minutes came in about 14 minutes lower than we said, and players we projected at the bottom came in a little higher. The order of this list is unchanged by that, and the gap closes as 2026/27 results arrive.

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Updated 15 Aug 2026 · Pre-season: player baselines come from last season's FPL history, and the minutes estimate comes from end-of-season rotation plus FPL availability. It sharpens automatically as 2026/27 gameweeks are played. · GoalIQ model predictions are statistical estimates for fun and analysis, not betting advice, and not a gambling service.