2026-09-03
Man City have the best clean sheet chance in Gameweek 3, 41.3% at home to Coventry. Arsenal are 38.8% against Chelsea, Brentford 37.7% against Sunderland. If you're buying a defender for one weekend, that's the order.
There's a new column next to those numbers, Next 6 CS%, and it doesn't agree. It averages the same probability over the six fixtures in the grid below. Arsenal come out at 47%, the best run on the page. City 33%, Brentford 22%.
City's 33% hides a wide swing. United away in GW4 is 18%, Sunderland at home in GW5 is 48%, which is higher than this weekend. I posted on Wednesday that City's 41% was really about the Coventry fixture. The full run says Coventry at home isn't even their best one.
| Club | GW3 clean sheet | Next 6 CS% |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 38.8% | 47% |
| Man City | 41.3% | 33% |
| Brentford | 37.7% | 22% |
| Coventry | 4% | 17% |
Coventry's 4% at City is the lowest clean sheet number in Gameweek 3, and their next six still average 17%, ahead of Hull and Ipswich. Coventry, Hull and Ipswich only came up this summer, so those three ratings rest on two Premier League matches and move a lot with every result. The table marks the rows.
The clean sheet table, every club and both columns.
Updated 07 Oct 2026 · GoalIQ model predictions are statistical estimates for fun and analysis, not betting advice, and not a gambling service.